Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 1.913893 2.289887 2.712024 3.219850 3.812897 4.482231 5.293518
2026-01-25 1.312791 1.770034 2.339722 3.096767 4.070857 5.275947 6.872804
2026-02-01 0.953657 1.422188 2.058914 2.977006 4.254285 5.953646 8.367701
2026-02-08 0.750722 1.220784 1.908564 2.970505 4.546393 6.771048 10.113447
2026-02-15 0.610263 1.072231 1.793901 2.976958 4.833330 7.590125 11.933229
2026-02-22 0.497131 0.938637 1.671270 2.939764 5.032980 8.285423 13.629249
2026-03-01 0.391615 0.793318 1.500118 2.789817 5.022352 8.642326 14.828188
2026-03-08 0.326077 0.704581 1.407024 2.750849 5.178624 9.266562 16.497414
2026-03-15 0.276443 0.635034 1.334789 2.733900 5.363521 9.947510 18.315322
2026-03-22 0.255346 0.618508 1.358468 2.894800 5.880715 11.239873 21.284093
2026-03-29 0.229121 0.585369 1.343263 2.976778 6.258103 12.318099 23.971371
2026-04-05 0.210147 0.564418 1.349055 3.099777 6.724922 13.597036 27.124565
2026-04-12 0.183038 0.519447 1.298082 3.102038 6.961885 14.487017 29.674764
2026-04-19 0.152351 0.458610 1.201448 2.992168 6.957546 14.917474 31.404078
2026-04-26 0.126649 0.404368 1.110007 2.878849 6.929460 15.294406 33.058910
2026-05-03 0.110825 0.373254 1.068537 2.873398 7.131554 16.148174 35.722600
2026-05-10 0.097803 0.346983 1.034435 2.879927 7.359704 17.074138 38.607196
2026-05-17 0.084805 0.317402 0.986208 2.843922 7.484812 17.792051 41.119788
2026-05-24 0.069720 0.276914 0.900489 2.698470 7.332792 17.895196 42.342997
2026-05-31 0.060513 0.253484 0.858301 2.660673 7.435585 18.567090 44.839991
2026-06-07 0.053194 0.234613 0.825858 2.644234 7.588886 19.365176 47.676121
2026-06-14 0.051291 0.235361 0.853410 2.800333 8.200055 21.268931 53.124532
2026-06-21 0.047558 0.228041 0.854336 2.879874 8.620201 22.759439 57.745585